Scenario planning Applying a sixstep process to your organization – Guideline Learn to make organizational decisions in uncertain, unpredictable and volatile environments This guideline walks you through the six necessary steps to implement a robust decisionmaking modelScenario planning is a strategic planning method used by organizations to plan for the long term and manage uncertainty, answering the question, "What if?" To make it easier, we've put together a guide to take you through the scenario planning process in 4 simple steps Defining the issue Identifying driving forces Scenario developmentLimitation of Scenario Planning • Biased scenarios can undermine their capacity to investigate multiple plausible futures • Potential for conflicts to emerge during participatory scenario planning processes as well as underrepresentation of stakeholder groups • Requires time, commitment and energy from participants and acknowledgement
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What is the 5 step planning process- In the strategic planning process, this scenario planning exercise should be taken into consideration when developing your vision, mission and goals Even your action plan and operations could be affected To learn more about the strategic planning process, read our Intro to the Complete Strategic Planning Process (StepbyStep Guide) If you'dThe Scenario Planning Process Design Workbook offers planners a stepbystep resource that takes learning gained through the text and applies it to key action steps This helps to demystify how scenario planning works and actively encourages planners to try it for the first time
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The 5step scenario planning process begins with the divergent phase, designed to stretch your organization's thinking and inspire new possibilities The last two steps comprise the convergent phase, where leadership sets priorities and turns its learning into actionable paths forward The scenario planning process 1 Orient I've included a very brief list of the 8 steps in developing scenarios 8 steps in Scenario Planningiii 1 Identify agenda, focal issue, decision 2 Identify key forces in the local environment 3 Establish driving forces 4 Rank driving forces on impact/predictability 5 Select scenario logics 6 Flesh out the scenarios 7 Determine implications 8 Scenario planning often stretches our thinking and opens our eyes to new opportunities and hidden risks Ultimately, some scenarios might be determined more plausible or even probable or preferred Here are the six steps to take when scenario planning Step 1 Identify and explore uncertainties Many changes are outside of our control
The 8 Step Scenario Planning Process for PowerPoint is designed to help you consider the key points of any planning process It touches upon points such as focal issue, key factors, external forces, scenario logics, scenarios, implications and options, critical uncertainties and more View All PowerPoint TemplatesScenario Planning Scenario planning A process of analyzing possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes (scenarios) helps leaders develop a detailed, internally consistent picture of a range of plausible outcomes as an industry evolves over time You can also incorporate the results of scenario planning into your strategy formulation and implementation These five steps can be framed as an application of the UProcess to the transformation of complex problematic situations 5 The UProcess is a model of transformation that includes five movements coinitiating (in transformative scenario planning, this is the convening step), cosensing (the observing and constructing steps), copresencing (the
Scenario Planning Work Approach Secure commitments from senior management, select team members and organize scenarios around key issues to be addressed Define assumptions clearly, establish relationships between drivers and limit the number of scenarios created Make sure each scenario presents a 1 Stresstesting your strategy Many organizations use scenario planning to test the robustness of their current strategic plans against a wide range of alternative scenarios It is theIt's impossible to predict the future Scenario Planning helps you to prepare for alternative outcomes This video takes you through 5 simple steps which ena
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Workforce planning is the process of balancing labour supply (skills) against the demand (numbers needed) It includes analysing the current workforce, determining future workforce needs, identifying the gap between the present and the future, and implementing solutions so that an organisation can accomplish its mission, goals, and strategic plan Scenario planning sits alongside a number of other tools that can be useful in the strategic management process Other guides that can usefully use this technique include risk management (the scenarios being used to identify possible risks), portfolio management (the scenarios being used to shape your portfolio) and change managementScenario planning can10 Steps to Successful Scenario Planning Step 1 Gather Research It is critical to enter the scenario planning process with the latest research on the business environment and variables that are vitally important to your organisation Gathering information from nontraditional sources outside of your industry ensures a diverse perspective
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When mapping a process you simply draw a box for each step and connect them with arrows to show a flow You can use an online tool to easily create a Process Map A basic process map would look like this; The scenario planning process usually unfolds according to an orderly, methodical eightstep process The process has two major parts first, choosing which scenario logics to137 Ensuring the application of the Scenario Planning Process is consistent with existing LATIS models and practices, the training of users and the supply of training materials along with documentation is available 138 The Scenario Planning Tool will have an ongoing role for quickly exploring the anticipated
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Process Map Symbols Each step in a process is represented by a shape in a process map These shapes are also called flowchart shapes6 Six Steps to Scenario Planning Step 1 Setting the Scenario Agenda The first step in developing scenarios is setting the context and timeline It is common for this process to follow a SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) and/or PESTLEPlanning Process There are many approaches to strategic planning, but typically one of the following approaches is used SituationTargetProposal This method involves the following steps Situation Evaluate the current situation and how it came about Target Define goals and objectives (sometimes called ideal state)
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Scenarios encourage you to think outside the box, helping organizations to anticipate sudden, potentially unforeseen changes The process of developing multiple scenarios leads to the identification of inevitable orScenario Planning Process Illustrated 10 Step process, starting with preparation, identifying the timelines and owner for every stage of Scenario Planning Welcome Dashboard with 10 Step Process to arrive at the Scenarios for Scenario PlanningWith this tool, you'll have an effective means to understand when and where to grow and how to get there Growth through Scaling 939 Scenario Planning 507 Scenario Planning Step 1 538 Scenario Planning Steps 2 and 3 758 Scenario Planning Steps 4
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New forecasting and scenario planning methods based on sound data analysis help businesses meet changing customer demands due to pandemic C ompanies are moving to the next phase of pandemic planning, with one eye on the recovery period and the other on what their business and industry will look like as they emerge from and go beyond the crisis But the futureA scenario planning process begins by scanning the current reality, projected forecasts, and influential internal and external factors to produce a setThe development of strategic foresight as an integral and critical step in that process in order There are other scenario planning processes, and scenarios can be used in conjunction with
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5 Step Process for Developing a Strategic Plan Step 1 Write a Vision Statement A Vision Statement is a statement (typically 23 sentences) that gives the reader (and more importantly, the organization) a mental picture of what the organization hopes to become or what the organization hopes to achieveScenario planning is a management tool that is designed to allow organizations to evaluate the efficacy of strategies, tactics, and plans under a range of possible future environments In short, it is a perfect tool for today's increasingly uncertain and volatile world Step 8 Look at early indicators The last and final step of the scenario planning process is to determine leading indicators The very first signs of change should be documented and reviewed, as these can quickly transition you from scenario to strategy Make this your end goal with scenario planning, and let data lead you in the right direction
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This is where the s2m strategic framework comes into play, and scenario planning is an excellent tool/process we use to help companies adapt to multiple future scenarios in uncertain environments as described above I've included a very brief list of the 8 steps in developing scenarios 8 steps in Scenario Planningiii 1To be effective, scenario planning must be focused—ideally around a material question or issue that needs to be answered or understood Questions can be very specific ("Should we enter the Chinese market?") or relatively broad ("What are the implications of reducing the reliance on fossilbased fuels?") In either case, many variables could shape the future and make it dicult toScenario planning is a disciplined process for developing alternative views about an organization's external future by analysing key uncertainties that
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Scenario (with low visibility) may highlight the need for skin protection, goggles, food supplies, radio, shelter, and so on Scenario planning differs from other planning methods, such as contingency planning, sensitivity analysis, and computer simulations First, contingency planning examines only one uncertainty, such as "What if we don'tScenario Planning Why Use Scenario Planning? The scenario planning process usually unfolds according to an orderly, methodical eightstep process The process has two major parts first, choosing which scenario logics to flesh out, a task that comprises the first five steps, and second, telling the actual story, its implications and early indicators, which comprise the remaining steps
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SCENARIO PLANNING GUIDELINES Introduction 8 There are compelling reasons for communities to undertake a scenario planning process beyond the legislative requirement to reduce GHG emissions from light vehicle travel Scenario planning can help communities explore how plans and policies put in place today will affect their community in the future Creating scenario narratives with this method consists in a very comprehensive procedure made of six steps First, we identify the driving forces affecting the futures through research, usually in\爀屲Scenario planning starts with an understanding of the various scenario factors \⠀洀攀琀愀 攀挀漀渀漀洀椀挀Ⰰ 猀漀挀椀攀琀愀氀Ⰰ 琀攀挀栀渀漀氀漀最礀 攀琀挀尩對 that will shape our future paradigm and then testing multiple hypotheses against these scenarios Following this process then \൰ermits an organization to set its direction from a variety of different tested hypotheses, and subsequently better plan
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Scenario planning is the process of making predictions and assumptions about the future of your business by creating multiple realitylike scenarios This process helps to examine how everchanging business dynamics have the potential to affect your company in the longrun Scenario planning helps entrepreneurs identify and highlight situationsThis scenario planning process is a condensed version of the one described in great detail by Peter Schwartz in The Art of the Long View Step 1 State the focal issue or decision facing the enterprise Scenario planning works best when it proceeds from the "inside out" rather than the "outside in"Scenario planning offers urban planners a set of approaches to explore how urban areas may grow and change in the future Geographic information systems (GIS), and spatial analysis tools that employ some form of GIS, are commonly used in scenario planning as a way to create, visualize, and analyze futures outcomes of presentday decisions
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